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Driving costs down to a $35 a barrel threshold will   zed topside design and modular jackets. A Norwe-
            require a combination of strategies. These will in-  gian operator and an offshore oilfield services com-
            clude regional hubs with reusable, modular deve-  pany reduced the breakeven cost of a wellhead
            lopment concepts, agile project delivery, digitally   platform by 30 percent through the use of a modu-
            powered operational excellence; and innovative al-  lar development concept that allowed construction
            liances. All four of these levers are necessary to un-  to start in parallel with detailed engineering design.
            lock currently uneconomic reserves and to speed
            up the pace of growth.                    In today’s up and down market, break-even cost
                                                      is emerging as a key indicator for assessing the at-
            Agile methods and modular, reusable concepts are   tractiveness, economic viability and profitability of
            now challenging well established beliefs about the   future energy projects. Most companies have set
            amount of capital required and cycle times betwe-  a goal to lower the break-even cost through the
            en discovery and first oil.               adoption of digital technologies, like advanced
                                                      analytics. This paper examines the break-even cost
                 Driving costs down to a $35 a        phenomenon and reviews technology options for
                 barrel threshold will require a      further reducing break-even cost so that oil com-
                                                      pany profits can be optimized.
            “combination of strategies.
                 These will include regional          Break-even cost variables
                 hubs with reusable, modular          A project is considered at “break-even” when its
                 development concepts, agile          net present value (NPV) is zero. Thus, when the
                 project delivery, digitally          present value of the negative cash flows from the
                                                      exploration, development and production are com-
                 powered operational excellence;      pensated for by the present value of positive cash
                 and innovative alliances. All four   flows expected from the oil sales, the project is at
                 of these levers are necessary        break-even.
                 to unlock currently uneconomic       The break-even calculations take on different cha-
                 reserves and to speed up the         racteristics  depending  upon  the possible  market
                                                      situations:
                 pace of growth                       •   When oil prices are increasing, new in-
                                                         vestment areas and innovative production
            Exploration and production (E&P) players are using   techniques are assessed. Included in the bre-
            these methods to shave off 20 to 30 percent of   ak-even calculation are all exploration costs,
            their original project development schedules. The   reservoir assessment, field development,
            marginal-field specialist Oranje-Nassau Enegie, for   distribution network development, as well
            example, accelerated time from discovery to first   as production costs and taxation. Costs are
            gas at its P11-11 field (in the southern North Sea)   considered from a full project life-cycle point
            to 28 months by employing a reusable, standardi-  of view.

                    Geological factors
                    Location
                    Market variables
                                                                Operating expenses
                                                                - Maintenance
                                                                - Energy consumption
                OpEx                                            - Manpower               Prod.
                                                                Reservoir management OpEx
                                                                - Recovery techniques (2ndary, EoR)
                                                                Transportation & administrative
                                                                Taxes & royalties   Half
                                                                                    cycle
                                                 Well development financing costs
                                                 Well pad & well construction
                                                 Reservoir management CapEx
                                                 - Recovery techniques (2ndary, EoR)
                                                 Facilities construction
                                                 Workovers
                                                 Decommissioning                Full
                                                                               project
                                                                              life cycle
                                  Field development financing costs
               CapEx              Engineering & design (FEED, EPCs)
                                  Export pipelines
                                  Infrastructure
                    Exploration
                    Block/area leasing
                    Reservoir characterisation
                                                                                                Costs influencing Oil & Gas
                                                                                                industry break-even prices
                        Exploration        Development & Delivery   Production


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